Supplementary file to Statistics and
"The Validity of Routine Medical Checks"
REALISTIC STATISTICS
Schöberlein`s statistic
of 8.8% relates to phimosis visible when flaccid, among young men.
In order to arrive at a realistic figure, we must add
5% who develop a phimosis during adulthood. (considerably more in
old age)
2% frenulum.
2% pain and difficulty inherent in some tensions and degrees of phimosis
which are not visible when flaccid.
Half the (personal opinion of 4%) frenulum cases occur with, and
are included in the phimosis figures.
Skin bridges (in uncircumcised boys) also appear to occur mostly together
with phimotic ring
Diseases and infections are also largely covered in these figures,
(undeveloped foreskin, --> no natural retraction,--> uncleanliness).
How to arrive at Realistic Statistics.
What would give us really realistic statistics would be a survey on
a group of men who were 80 yrs. old and over. Most older men will not
be concerned about the social stigma and thus more likely to tell the
truth, especially when they learn that by recording their experience
it could help youngsters. Maybe with the skin shrinkage, by the time
a man is 100 yrs. old, practically every male needs a surgical correction...
? It would be interesting to make a test survey on a group of old age
pensioners. How many were circumcised, when, why... and remember to
ask if they consider retraction necessary ...
Extra Points about Statistics
I believe the total figure is at least 12.5% not because of the medical
studies, but simply because of the men I have talked with. I have talked
personally with around 40 cases, and have questioned not more than
250 men; (I have certainly not had the opportunity to speak with 4,000
men!)
I realise such personally collected statistics are scientifically
invalid; All one really needs to say is "If the statistics were
only 1%, this would be too many". I believe, if parents were aware
of a 1% chance they would want to check their children. I have never
seen any valid source references for a 1% figure. (The lowest recorded
statistic, is Øster with 2.4% and this was recorded after seven
years of annual check-ups and education). |